Oscars 2025 Predictions: This Study Forecasts Who Will Take Home The Gold
Source: A24 / Sing Sing
With awards season in full swing, all eyes are on the 2025 Academy Awards set to take place on Mar. 2. As the biggest night in film approaches, this study has crunched the numbers using Rotten Tomatoes critics’ scores to predict this year’s Oscar winners. Read about which films could win big at the 2025 Oscars inside.
CSDB.gg conducted a study that used Rotten Tomatoes critics scores to predict which movies would take home Oscars this year. If their analysis holds, expect big wins for I’m Still Here, A Real Pain, and Sing Sing. Each of these films are projected to claim two awards.
Colman Domingo & Fernanda Torres Lead Acting Categories
According to CSDB.gg’s predictions, Colman Domingo is set to win Best Actor for his performance in Sing Sing, which boasts a near-perfect 97 percent rating. He faces tough competition from Timothée Chalamet (A Complete Unknown) and Sebastian Stan (The Apprentice), but critics’ reviews place Domingo in the lead.
For Best Actress, I’m Still Here’s Fernanda Torres is the likely winner, with a 96 percent score. She’s up against Cynthia Erivo (Wicked) and Demi Moore (The Substance), but the numbers suggest Torres will take the trophy.
Kieran Culkin & Ariana Grande Dominate Supporting Categories
The study predicts Kieran Culkin (A Real Pain) will secure Best Supporting Actor, thanks to the film’s 96 percent rating. His closest competitors include Yura Borisov (Anora) and Guy Pearce (The Brutalist).
Meanwhile, the Best Supporting Actress race took an unexpected turn. Ariana Grande (Wicked) wasn’t initially a frontrunner based on critics’ scores alone, but a tie between Isabella Rossellini (Conclave) and Felicity Jones (The Brutalist) led to audience scores being factored in—pushing Grande into the top spot.
Best Picture & Director: I’m Still Here and Sean Baker Take the Lead
For Best Picture, I’m Still Here is projected to win with an impressive 96 percent score. It faces strong competition from Conclave and Dune: Part Two, but its critical reception gives it the edge.
Meanwhile, Sean Baker (Anora) is the likely winner for Best Director, with a 94 percent Rotten Tomatoes rating. He’s ahead of Brady Corbet (The Brutalist) and Jacques Audiard (Emilia Pérez), but his momentum suggests victory.
Screenplay Categories: Sing Sing and A Real Pain Take Top Honors
In the writing categories, Best Adapted Screenplay is expected to go to Sing Sing (97 percent), written by Greg Kwedar and Clint Bentley. Meanwhile, Best Original Screenplay is likely to be won by Jesse Eisenberg for A Real Pain (96 percent).
As awards night approaches, all predictions could change. Based upon critical reception, these films and actors are the ones to watch.
Be sure to tune into the 97th Academy Awards Sunday, March 2, 2025 at 7pm EST, premiering live on Hulu, YouTube TV and FuboTv.
